Polymarket Opens Betting on Elon Musk’s Possible Exit from Trump’s Administration
Kate Marshal
18 February 2025
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Pictured: Elon Musk
Elon Musk is expected to keep his role in Donald Trump’s Executive Office beyond the president’s first 100 days — at least, that’s the current sentiment among most Polymarket users.
The prediction market “Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?” launched on February 15, allowing users to wager on potential dismissals within the administration.
Alongside the Tesla and SpaceX CEO, Polymarket’s list includes 11 other officials who could be shown the door.
As of now, the platform’s betting odds on potential firings stand as follows:
- Elon Musk, Director of Government Efficiency — 36%
- Susie Wiles, White House Chief of Staff — 6%
- Pete Hegseth, Secretary of Defense — 5%
- Karoline Leavitt, White House Press Secretary — 5%
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. Ambassador to the U.N. — 5%
- Lee Zeldin, EPA Administrator — 5%
- Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve Chair — 4%
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Secretary of Health and Human Services — 4%
- Marco Rubio, Secretary of State — 4%
- Pam Bondi, Attorney General — 4%
- Tulsi Gabbard, Director of National Intelligence — 3%
- Scott Bessent, Treasury Secretary — 3%
This makes Musk the frontrunner in the betting market for potential firings.
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