What is a Winning Margin ‘No Goal’ Bet?

A no goal is an outcome in a winning margin bet (aka “to win by” bet) where you predict that neither team will score during the match, resulting in a 0-0 draw.

Keep in mind: Don’t mix this up with a ‘Score Draw’ bet, where the match ends in a draw with both teams scoring at least one goal.

How Does a Winning Margin ‘No Goal’ Bet Work?

In a winning margin ‘No Goal’ bet, you predict that the match will end in a goalless draw. If nobody scores, you win. If anyone scores, you lose. Simple as that. 

Here’s how a detailed look at how it works:

• Winning Scenario: If the match ends in a 0-0 draw, you win the bet.
• Losing Scenario: If the match ends with any goals scored by either team, you lose the bet.

Pro tip: Choose your league wisely. For example, in the Premier League, where goalless draws occur in 5-8% of matches every year (20-25 out of 380), it’s crucial to select the right teams. Contrast this with Argentina’s Primera B Nacional, where a defensive style leads to 19% (2023/2024 season) of matches ending 0-0, and Greece Super League 2 (10% goalless draws).

No Goal vs. Score Draw: How Does It Differ?

Both bets end in a draw and are resolved over 90 minutes without regard for additional time or penalties, but here’s the kicker: it’s all about the goals.

So, if you’re betting on a Score Draw, you’re hoping for a tie with some action on the scoreboard. But with a No Goal bet, you’re banking on no goals at all.

Example: How Does a Winning Margin ‘No Goal’ Bet Work?

Alright, so let’s say you’re thinking about a ‘No Goal’ bet for the friendly between Southampton and Montpellier. Southampton’s had 1 goalless draw in their last 5 matches, and Montpellier? They’re known for not scoring much.

With these stats, bet365 is offering odds of 15.00. Pretty tempting, right?

So, for example, you put down $100 on this bet at 15.00 odds. If the match ends 0-0, you pocket $1,500 ($100 x 15.00). That’s a $1,400 profit ($1,500 – $100). But if anyone scores, you lose the bet, and the bookie takes your money.

Here’s a snapshot of how this bet looks at bet365:

Winning Margin ‘No Goal’

Pros and Cons of Winning Margin ‘No Goal’ Bet