Polymarket: Odds of Emmanuel and Brigitte Macron Divorcing Stand at 6%
Kate Marshal
29 May 2025
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Pictured: Brigitte and Emmanuel Macron
Prediction market platform Polymarket is letting users bet on whether French President Emmanuel Macron will divorce his wife, Brigitte, this year.
The market follows a viral video that recently circulated in the media, showing Macron apparently getting slapped by Brigitte as the door of the presidential aircraft opened.
The incident took place during the French leader’s trip to Vietnam.
Polymarket, known for quickly capitalizing on buzzy headlines, wasted no time in launching a new betting market tied to the incident.
So far, users on the platform aren’t buying the drama. Based on current wagers, the implied probability of a Macron divorce in 2025 is just 6%.
Gambling Park previously covered Polymarket’s odds on legal outcomes involving American rapper Diddy.
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