Pavlovich vs Pereira at UFC 335

Sergei Pavlovich is set to face Alex Pereira in the co-main event of UFC 335 in Las Vegas. The Russian heavyweight will take on the former UFC middleweight and light heavyweight champion in a five-round clash between two knockout artists.

We break down both fighters’ recent form, compare the betting odds and assess how each man could win.

Fight: Sergei Pavlovich vs Alex Pereira.
Event: UFC 335.
Date: December 12, 2026 (December 13 in the UK).
Main card: 9 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. PT / 2 a.m. GMT (Dec. 13).
Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, USA.
Division: Heavyweight.
Format: Five five-minute rounds.

Where to Bet on Pavlovich vs Pereira

We’ve selected five bookmakers where you can bet on Sergei Pavlovich vs Alex Pereira. Compare their fight winner odds, range of betting markets and welcome bonus terms to find the best option for you.

BONUS €130

9.1

369 |13

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CASHBACK 10%

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330 |16

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200 |11

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8.6

356 |22

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8.4

203 |14

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Who to Back

We give Sergei Pavlovich a slight edge over Alex Pereira. The Russian has more experience at heavyweight, a reach advantage and a three-fight winning streak. Pereira’s knockout power, however, makes him a dangerous opponent even for the favourite.

1xBet offers the following odds on the fight:

Sergei Pavlovich to win — 1.50.
Alex Pereira to win — 2.72.

Odds are subject to change before the fight.

The stats below help explain why bookmakers favour Pavlovich and what makes Pereira a threat.

Stat	Sergei Pavlovich	Alex Pereira
Professional MMA record	21–3	13–4
Wins by KO/TKO	16	11
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO	76%	85%
Reach	213 cm	201 cm
Last three fights	3 wins	1 win, 2 losses

Source: UFC fighter profiles.

Pavlovich has bounced back from defeats to Tom Aspinall and Alexander Volkov. He earned decision wins over Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Waldo Cortes-Acosta before stopping Tallison Teixeira in just 39 seconds. That run shows he can win without relying on an early knockout. His reach advantage could also help him catch Pereira coming in and strike first.

The biggest concern when backing Pavlovich is Pereira’s threat on the feet. Eleven of the Brazilian’s 13 wins have come by KO/TKO. He stopped Magomed Ankalaev in the first round in October 2025, but his heavyweight debut ended in defeat: Ciryl Gane beat him by second-round TKO in June 2026. Whether Pereira can withstand the power of elite heavyweights remains an open question.

Our predicted winner: Pavlovich to win.

Still, odds of 1.50 call for caution. For the bet to offer positive expected value, Pavlovich’s true chance of winning would need to exceed 66.7%.

How Often Do Underdogs Win in the UFC Heavyweight Division?

To put Pavlovich vs Pereira in context, we examined 34 UFC heavyweight fights from 2020–2025 that were scheduled for five rounds, using a publicly available archive. Only bouts with a winner and available betting odds were included.

Underdogs won 10 of those 34 fights, a win rate of 29.4%. Favourites won the remaining 24, or 70.6%. We also looked separately at non-title bouts, since Pavlovich vs Pereira falls into that category.

Sample	Number of fights	Underdog wins	Underdog win rate
All fights in the sample	34	10	29.4%
Non-title fights	26	8	30.8%
Title fights	8	2	25%

Calculations based on the Ultimate UFC Dataset. The sample covers numbered UFC events and UFC Fight Night cards. No contests and bouts without available odds were excluded.

Win rate, however, tells only part of the story. A flat $10 bet on every underdog at the archived odds would have produced a net loss of around $93.46. The total amount staked would have been $340, with approximately $246.54 returned. A handful of big upsets would not have made up for the losing bets.

Pavlovich himself has won as an underdog. Curtis Blaydes was the favourite when they met in April 2023, but Pavlovich stopped him by TKO at 3:08 of the first round.

For this matchup, the takeaway is straightforward: Pereira should not be dismissed simply because he is the underdog, but a bigger potential payout is not enough reason to back him. The historical 29.4% win rate comes from a small sample of past fights; it does not represent Pereira’s probability of beating Pavlovich.

Our Final Tip: Compare Before You Bet

Before placing your bet on Pavlovich vs Pereira, compare odds across bookmakers and check their welcome offers. Explore our Win Win promo code, Linebet promo code and Pinco promo code guides for bonus details and activation instructions. Pay attention to wagering requirements, minimum odds and eligible bet types to choose an offer that suits your betting plans.