Crypto Billionaire Vitalik Buterin Has Revealed His Earnings Strategy on Polymarket

^{Pictured: Vitalik Buterin, a crypto billionaire and the founder of Ethereum}

Canadian crypto billionaire and Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin earned approximately $70,000 in 2025 through the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket, according to an interview with Chinese crypto media outlet Foresight News.

Buterin stated that he utilizes Polymarket to wager on the outcomes of various socio-political events.

He explained that he targets markets where participant expectations are significantly distorted, often betting against highly improbable or overly popular scenarios, including rare and extreme forecasts.

“I select markets where participants act too emotionally and overestimate unlikely scenarios. In such cases, I bet that these extreme events will not occur,” Buterin said. “For example, when markets emerge predicting Donald Trump winning the Nobel Peace Prize or the total collapse of the dollar within a year. When market sentiment becomes irrational, I take the opposite position. This usually generates a profit.”

The Ethereum co-founder disclosed that he deployed $440,000 in capital to achieve the $70,000 gain, representing a 16% return on investment.

However, Buterin also highlighted the technical and procedural risks inherent in prediction markets regarding how outcomes are determined. He cited a market related to the conflict in Ukraine, where a change in information sources led to a sharp shift in forecasts despite no confirmed changes on the ground.

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction platform built on blockchain technology. Outcomes are resolved via the UMA system, which determines results post-event and allows for disputes in the case of disagreements.

Vitalik Buterin and Peter Thiel previously invested $70 million in Polymarket, as reported by Gambling Park.