Total Games Under 12.5 in Tennis Betting: Explained

In tennis betting, total games under 12.5 is a bet that hinges on a particular set concluding with 12 games or fewer.

This wager anticipates a decisive set that ends before reaching a 13-game mark (6:3, 6:4, etc.). If the set reaches 13 games (7:6), the bet doesn’t hold.

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Applying Total Games Under 12.5 Bet

What are the conditions for winning or losing the bet? Here’s a simple explanation.

For instance, let’s say you place a $100 bet on under 12.5 games in the first set of a match between a dominant player like Rafael Nadal and a rising star, and the set concludes with a score of 6:4. In this case, your bet wins because only 10 games were played.

However, if the set extends to a tiebreak, finishing with a score of 7:6, the bet is lost because the total number of games played in the set is 13, which is over the 12.5 threshold.

Best Markets to Bet on with Total Games Under 12.5

• Set Score

Commonly, under 12.5 bets are placed on the total games in a set, predicting a swift conclusion without reaching a 13-game tally.

For example, if you’re betting on the first set, you’re predicting that there will be 12 or less games played in that set.

• Player’s Game Wins

You can also bet on a player to win fewer than 12.5 games in the entire match, which is a good strategy when one player is heavily favored.

Note: These are the more common markets, while others may be less frequently offered.

Tennis Betting Playbook: Tips for Total Under 12.5 Points Bet

Early Round Strategy: In the initial rounds of a tournament, top-seeded players may dispatch lower-ranked opponents swiftly, keeping the game count low.

Player Match-ups: Look for matches where one player has a strong record against the other, indicating a potential for a quick win.

Court Dynamics: Clay courts are known for long rallies and fewer aces, especially when the players are strong in baseline rallies. Think Monte-Carlo Country Club, The Hamburg Open, and Roland Garros’s slow courts.

Break Point Conversion: Look for players who are clinical in converting break points. A single break of serve can often be enough to keep the game count under 12.5 in a set.

First Serve Efficiency: Focus on players with a high first serve percentage. Efficient servers like the current world No. 4. Alexander Zverev or Matteo Berrettini are less likely to face break points, often leading to quicker sets.

Minimize Risks: Remember, under 12.5 bets are non-refundable. Be cautious when incorporating these bets into parlays to avoid compounding losses.

Note: In tennis betting, retirements can cause an unexpected twist. If a player retires, say due to an ankle sprain, bookmakers may vary in their response. Some might offer a ‘walkover’ refund, setting odds at even (1.00). Others might default to a ‘retirement rule’, where the retiring player is deemed to have lost the remaining games by default. For example, if a player retires after securing a 6:4 set, the match could be settled as a 1:2 loss (6:4, 0:6, 0:6).