U.S. Open Golf 2026 (June 18–21): Favorites and Best Bets
- 📅 Date: June 18–21, 2026
- 📍 Location: Shinnecock Hills Golf Club, New York, USA
The 2026 U.S. Open Golf Championship will be played June 18–21 at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in New York. This will be the sixth time the venue has hosted the U.S. Open. Fast greens, thick rough, and coastal winds make it one of the toughest tests of the season.
A field of 156 golfers will play four 18-hole rounds, with the title going to the player who posts the lowest total score.
2026 U.S. Open Golf: Where to Bet
To find the best odds and available bonuses for the U.S. Open Championship, it’s worth comparing offers from trusted sportsbooks. Gambling Park reviewed the lines from leading sportsbooks and put together a list of reliable options for betting on the tournament. Top-rated sportsbooks:
2026 U.S. Open Golf: How the Field Stacks Up
| ⛳ Player | 📈 Betting Status | 📊 Odds | 🎯 Probability* |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler (United States) | Favorite | 6.55 | 15.27% |
| Rory McIlroy (Northern Ireland) | Top challenger | 11 | 9.09% |
| Jon Rahm (Spain) | Contender | 13 | 7.69% |
| Bryson DeChambeau (United States) | Contender | 19 | 5.26% |
| Xander Schauffele (United States) | Contender | 19 | 5.26% |
| Cameron Young (United States) | Contender | 19 | 5.26% |
| Tommy Fleetwood (England) | Contender | 21 | 4.76% |
* Probabilities are calculated directly from the odds and include the sportsbook margin.
Top 3 Betting Picks
Scottie Scheffler (United States)
The clear favorite on the betting board. His odds to win are 6.55, which translates to an implied probability of about 15.27%.
Advantages
- ▲ consistent results in majors;
- ▲ high accuracy and reliable all-around play;
- ▲ status as one of the strongest players in world golf.
Weaknesses
- ▼ shorter odds compared to his main rivals;
- ▼ favorite status adds extra pressure;
- ▼ tight competition among the top contenders.
Rory McIlroy (Northern Ireland)
Scheffler’s main challenger according to sportsbook odds. McIlroy’s odds to win are 11, with an implied probability of about 9.09%.
Advantages
- ▲ extensive major championship experience;
- ▲ power off the tee;
- ▲ ability to contend for titles at the toughest events.
Weaknesses
- ▼ inconsistency in individual rounds;
- ▼ high expectations at major events;
- ▼ strong competition from the top tier of the field.
Jon Rahm (Spain)
The third option on the betting board. His odds to win are 13, which translates to an implied probability of about 7.69%.
Advantages
- ▲ experience winning major championships;
- ▲ strong performance under pressure;
- ▲ high level of consistency over the course of a tournament.
Weaknesses
- ▼ a demanding course makes every mistake more costly;
- ▼ one poor round can take him out of title contention;
- ▼ windy conditions could make long shots more difficult.
Potential Sleeper Picks for the Tournament
Beyond the favorites, the sportsbook lines include several players with longer odds. They are not among the top contenders, but they could still make a run at the title.
| ⛳ Player | 📊 Odds | 🎯 Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Ludvig Åberg (Sweden) | 21 | 4.76% |
| Matthew Fitzpatrick (England) | 26 | 3.85% |
| Brooks Koepka (United States) | 26 | 3.85% |
| Justin Rose (England) | 34 | 2.94% |
| Tyrrell Hatton (England) | 34 | 2.94% |
These golfers are not considered the main favorites, but they have major championship experience and could emerge as surprise contenders.
Expert Comment
The 2026 U.S. Open Golf presents an interesting betting market. It is a major championship where consistency over four rounds, shot accuracy, and the ability to avoid mistakes can make all the difference.
✅ Main pick — Scottie Scheffler to win at 6.55.
Scheffler is the clear favorite on the betting board. He has been consistently strong in major championships and rarely falls out of contention for top finishes.
🔼 Secondary pick — Rory McIlroy to win at 11.
McIlroy remains one of the leading contenders thanks to his major championship experience and elite game.
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